2019 China Robot industry forecast 2018 Control Engineering Copyright , China’s robot industry sustained, healthy and rapid development. Looking to 2019, the development of the robotics industry opportunities and challenges, both manufacturing quality and efficiency, the robotics industry to provide a new momentum, but also the economic downward pressure, urgent need to enhance the core technology shift urgent need to upgrade, not international stabilizing factor increases and other negative factors. Overall, the opportunities outweigh the challenges, China’s robot industry is experiencing an unprecedented period of rapid development, optimize product structure, application areas continue to expand, new products are emerging. 1. Industry size robot to maintain rapid growth and rapid development of information technology and the rapid spread of the Internet to promote artificial intelligence to usher in a stage of rapid development, on the one hand intelligent service robot applications scenarios and public service model is constantly expanding, on the other hand, including industrial robots intelligent manufacturing equipment in the production process increasingly widespread application. According Preview Industrial Research Institute released the “China + Internet robot industry market demand forecasts and investment strategic planning analysis report” Statistics show that in 2017, China’s industrial robot sales volume hit a new record, production was 131,100 units, up 81.1% sales of 13.8 million units, up 58.6% year on year growth of industrial robots worldwide sales growth of 31%, higher than the 27.6 percentage points. 2018 Control Engineering Copyright , China’s industrial output continued the robot boom of 2017, monthly production continued to rise. However, at the end of 2018, affected by factors such as the Sino-US trade friction, China’s industrial production fell robot. As of December 2018 the country’s industrial robot production was 11961 units, down 12.1% year on year. 2018 January-December the country’s industrial robot production was 147,682 units, an increase of 4.6%. Although a significant decline in the growth rate, but overall maintained a rising trend.
2014–2018 National Industrial robot production statistics and growth
Source: Prospective Institute for Industrial finishing
is expected in 2019, with the “robot industry development plan (2016-2020)”, “Promotion three-year action plan (2018-2020 years) “,” intelligent manufacturing industry development plan develop a new generation of artificial intelligence (201Further of 6-2020) “and other policies, intelligent upgrading of demand has become increasingly prominent, new installed capacity of China’s industrial robots is expected to continue to maintain a rapid growth rate. Meanwhile, with continued strong demand aspects of the aging population as well as home economics, health, education, public safety, our service robot market has great potential. 2, high value-added product sales rising since 2018, with the rapid development of China’s robot industry Control Engineering Copyright , the product mix continued momentum of development in recent years, high domestic value-added multi-joint robot sales continue to increase, rendering the product structure optimization trend. 2017, articulated robot sales in the Chinese market in the first place, annual sales of 9.1 million units, up 66.6%, of which domestic sales for the first time beyond the articulated robot coordinate type robot, annual total sales of 16,000 units, up an increase of 35.5%. Coordinate robot sales total more than 21,000 units, sales grew 15.4%, growth accelerated compared to last year. SCARA robot highest growth rate of all types of models, sales doubled. Is expected in 2019, with the continuous improvement of robot-related technology, especially high value-added technology products, multi-joint robot performance will be further improved. At the same time the enterprises themselves continue to actively optimize the product structure, improve the manufacturing level, China-made multi-joint robot sales will be further enhanced. Since March, applications continue to expand in 2018, China-made robot applications continuation of the trend in recent years, expanding into new application areas. Application of industrial robots is made mainly in the upper and lower materials handling, welding and soldering, assembly, processing, etc., has expanded rapidly to machinery, electronics, chemical industry, light industry, shipbuilding, mining, etc. from conventional automobile manufacturing. 2017, domestic industrial robots have been serving in the national economy 37 industry categories and 102 industry categories, compared to the year 2016, it has expanded three industry categories. In particular to the industry in addition to traditional food manufacturing, pharmaceutical manufacturing, non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industry, food manufacturing, non-metallic mineral products, chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing In addition, metal products, automotive, rubber and plastic products industry and other industries, but also added ferrous metal smelting and rolling industry and other industries. Is expected in 2019, with key positions robots replace engineering, safetyProduce less (no) person of special projects, continue to implement intelligent manufacturing engineering and new applications model policy, the application of industrial robots will continue to expand, handling and loading and unloading robot is expected to continue to maintain sales in the first place, with the processing capabilities of the robot the continued rapid growth. 3C manufacturing, automobile manufacturing is still the main market domestic production of the robot, and is expected to extend to the labor-intensive textile, logistics industry, a high degree of risk of national defense, civil explosive industry, environmental cleanliness requirements for the production of pharmaceutical products high , semiconductor, food and other industries, and harm to human health ceramics, bricks and other industries. 4, new products continue to emerge in recent years, robot base with cutting-edge technology is developing rapidly, involves engineering materials in various fields of mechanical control, sensors, automation, computer, life science, a lot of discipline in promoting the rapid development of interactive, new products emerged. 2018 Control Engineering Copyright , New Song Robot & Automation Co., Ltd. exhibited outside contour laser navigation mobile robot, the robot no longer active environment for the transformation of secondary use, shortening installation cycle, security and scalability of the product has also been greatly improved. Baoji Qinchuan robot production RV reducer, reducer has developed a special series of complete sets of equipment and technology products, formed four series of 18 models 85 kinds of specifications, has become a domestic robot reducer most complete product line of supply business, products are sold at home and abroad two hundred companies. After the green harmonic reducer Suzhou completed 20,000 hours of life testing accuracy, precision robot over the life of the international requirements of 6000 hours, 2018 new production base in use to further enhance the annual output of 50 times. Looking to 2019, with the healthy development of the robotics industry in China, “smart robot” key special in-depth promote national innovation center robot to play a role in the deepening of the reform of university research and institutional mechanisms at all levels of government support for the continued research and development of robot technology, new products, new technologies will continue to make breakthroughs. 5, National Innovation Center robots play a role in June 2018, the National Innovation Center robots in the CAS Shenyang Institute of Automation unveiled, is the National Academy of Shenyang intelligent robot, Ltd. as the basis, led by the CAS Shenyang Institute of Automation, Harbin Institute of Technology jointly new song company and other units jointly established. According to the center run enterprise mechanism, “company +Alliance “mode operation, including 14 shareholders, the integration of domestic enterprises, universities and research institutions and other key disciplines base and research base. Looking to 2019, relying on the core components of a national innovation center robot robot pilot incubation capacity, application demonstration capabilities and industry support services capability, our country will gradually form a set of research and development, the transformation, industry services, personnel training in one of the national co-robot industry innovation base, to improve our capacity for independent innovation is weak robotics industry, the core technology gap surviving the issue is of great significance, is of great significance in promoting the development of China’s high-end manufacturing innovation, promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. our robot industry need to overcome four major problems 1, the core components yet to be breakthrough precision reducers, servo motors, quality and stability of production capacity and other core components of the controller to be fully upgraded core components of long-term dependence on imported situation also need to overcome. precision reducer, the current Suzhou green is representative of the domestic harmonic reducer can be realized Import substitution, but due RV reducer transmission accuracy, torsional stiffness and other issues, still unable to shake off dependence on imports; servomotors, the current domestic servo motor can only meet the needs of some low-end of the robot; the controller, the domestic manufacturers whether the problem has been solved, but there is a big gap in terms of stability, response speed, ease of use and international mainstream brand. 2, business greater pressure on the one hand , our country the core component of long-term dependence on imports of industrial robots control Engineering Copyright , the cost of production, procurement costs, management costs relatively high. in contrast, foreign companies started early robots, mature industrial base, many companies themselves is the key supplier of core components, such as Fanuc is the world’s largest professional manufacturer of CNC systems, Yaskawa is the world’s largest motor manufacturer, has a natural advantage in terms of cost. on the other hand www.cechina .cn , in the absence of technical and cost advantages, some companies with domestic robot products, “cost” to Open market, mainly concentrated in the low-end products, resulting in reduced profit margins. For example, the first three quarters of 2018, new and up and Eston were a net profit of 052 million yuan and 056 million yuan, compared to the same period last year 160 million yuan and 093 million yuan CONTROL ENGINEERING China Copyright , reduced by a big margin. 3, professional talent gap is larger robot industry has a multi-level talent needs, according to “Manufacturing Talent Development Planning Guide,” the Ministry of Education and other ministries jointly issued forecasts that by 2020 China’s high-end CNC machine tools and robotics talent gap will reach 3 million ; 2025, the talent gap will be further expanded to 4.5 million. Although Chinese enterprises and research institutions to continue to increase robot technology research and development direction of the body of talent introduction and training efforts, but on-site commissioning, operation and maintenance training efforts run applications such as personnel management is still lacking. 4, testing and certification system should be further improved with the continuous promotion of national robotics testing and assessment center, National Robotics Center record high, China Industry Alliance robots and other departments to develop the standards, testing and certification implementation and other aspects of the work, our lack of robots industry standards and certification norms situation is expected to continue to improve. But our country needs to focus on only part of the industrial robot manufacturer on the part of the performance of our products factory inspection, standards and professional studies but lack, testing equipment supporting the poor, the lower the reliability of test results, test project can not meet product quality control needs. Five promoting the development of high-quality 1 robot industry, improve the policy support system: 1) the introduction of appropriate support policies in terms of capital, taxation, subsidies and other product sales to improve domestic industrial robot usage. The implementation of preferential tax policies for enterprises; expansion of “the first (set) of major technical equipment to promote the application of the Guiding Catalog” to promote the development and application of its own brand of industrial robots. 2) study and formulate policies to guide industry applications. For example, for a number of toxic, harmful, hazardous jobs, it must be based on the robot instead of doing so; for harsh environments jobs high temperature, high noise, in order to encourage the robot instead of doing so. 3) encourage financial capital, venture capital and private capital to participate in the robotics industry, support qualified enterprises to direct financing in overseas capital markets. 2, to enhance the capability of independent innovation First, accelerate technology development, major breakthroughs iconic products, strengthen research on key components and technologies and high-end quality products to enhance the precision reducer, high-performance servo motors and drives and other key components quality stability and production capacity. Second, market demand, focus aroundAround the automobile, machinery, electronics, defense industry, chemical industry and other industrial robots, advanced robot and medical health service robot applications, research and development of medical robotics, intelligent public service robots, robots explosion, promote product upgrades. Third, the construction of artificial intelligence, perception, recognition, drive and control technology research and development platform for the next generation, while focusing on technological innovation not been incorporated into the existing systems in the field of robotics, such as energy, big data, security, and materials. 3, improve and promote the development of qualified personnel First, learning and research personnel training mode to establish the new colleges, enterprises and personnel training. Relying on well-known Chinese Academy of Sciences and other research institutions, through the implementation of large cooperation projects, joint ventures train from research and development, production, maintenance, system integration of multi-level technical personnel. Second, the use of vocational training, vocational qualification system to nurture talent through practical project exercise. The third is to strengthen high-level talents, to attract overseas students to return innovation and entrepreneurship. 4, strengthen the industry standard management First, in accordance with the “robot industry development plan (2016-2020),” the deployment, accelerate the “industrial robot industry norm conditions”, “industrial robot industry standard management implementation method,” such as industrial policy implementation, organizations industry standard management implementation. The second is to encourage enterprises to actively apply for industrial robots in line with industry norms condition of enterprises notice, all kinds of incentives to guide enterprises to gather announcement. Encourage enterprises to strengthen technological innovation and lean management capacity building, enhance brand value and soft power, to promote the rational and healthy development of the robotics industry. The third is to increase the service robot manufacturing-related statistical standards, can start with a few representative products start to carry out the statistical aspects of the production value, revenue, profits, etc., to provide data support for industrial research and policy development. 5, first, to broaden the investment and financing channels to enhance financial support for the robotics industry and encourage all kinds of banks, fund within the scope of business, to support advanced technology, have obvious advantages, strong support and promote the role of the robot project, the promotion of leasing robot mode. The second is the establishment of a national fund of funds industry, leveraging financial resources, overall planning and strategic guidance from the national level to strengthen the dominant position of enterprises, optimizing capital allocation direction. Third, establish a special guide local matching funds based on local advantages and features of the policy to promote robotics companies and local governments, parks interaction and cooperation.